NFL Week 1 Picks with Odds

Here we are again entering another NFL season. There are some interesting matchups with some interesting betting odds.

For example: Last years Superbowl Champion Philadelphia Eagles are only a 2 point favorite playing the Falcons at home. It used to be that the home team enjoyed a 3 point advantage. Nick Foles, who engineered the SB win will start because Carson Wentz hasn't been cleared to play.

The odds makers are putting a lot of faith in Andrew Luck's return with the Colts a prohibitive favorite over the visiting Bengals.

The Saints are a 10 1/2 point favorite playing at home against the Jamies Winston less Buccaneers. Good pick here but 10 1/2 points in the 1st game of the season is tricky.

Jimmy Garoppolo vs. Kirk Cousins and the Vikings with the Vikes a 7 point favorite.

And last, but not least, Jon Gruden and the Raiders are a 4 point dog to the visiting LA Rams. How much will the loss of Kalil Mack hurt Gruden's spread offense?

Here are my picks for Week 1. Remember...if you bet, legally this year, based on my picks...you're crazy! My picks are in CAPITOL letters.

Thursday

(WIN)Falcons @ EAGLES -2     The run in 2018 continues...Fly Eagles Fly.

Sunday

(LOSS) STEELERS (-4) @ Browns     The Browns will win, just not this week.
(WIN) BENGALS @ Colts (-3)     Colts need more than "Luck" to win this one.
(LOSS) TITANS (-1.5) @ Dolphins     This really is a "pick'em"
(WIN) 49ers @ VIKINGS (-6)     Honeymoon over for Garoppolo.
(WIN) Texans @ PATRIOTS (-6.5)     Going against a 40 year old Brady is crazy!
(LOSS) Buccaneers @ SAINTS (-9.5)     Brees breezes...Get it?
(WIN) JAGUARS @ Giants (-3)     Jags win despite Bortles.
(WIN) Bills @ RAVENS (-7)     We might even see RGIII in this rout.
(WIN) CHIEFS @ Chargers (-3)     Chiefs win...it's the regular season.
(PUSH) Seahawks @ BRONCOS (-3)     Legion of Boom becomes Legion on Gloom.
(WIN) REDSKINS @ Cardinals (even)     Steady Alex Smiths guides the 'Skins.
(WIN) Cowboys @ PANTHERS (-3)     Take the Panthers at home.
(LOSS) Bears @ PACKERS(-7.5)     The 'Pack is back!

Monday

(LOSS) Jets @ LIONS (-7)     J-E-T-S...Forget it Jet Fans...Rookie QB
(WIN) RAMS (-6) @ Raiders     As much as I am rooting for Gruden...I don't see it!

So there you have it...Week 1 is a lock...I see a 16-0 week...What do you think?

The experts and I disagree on 8 of the 16 games this week. The so-called experts prefer
the Falcons, Texans, Browns, Chargers, Cardinals, Seahawks, bears and Jets. We'll just see!

NFL Picks Week 10

Last week didn't go very well for me. I finished 5-8 for a 76-55 overall record.

The Packers have lost in consecutive weeks to the Broncos and the Panthers...pretty good competition, consequently not a bad loss there. The Rams loss to the Vikings was disappointing as was the Saints OT loss.

The Falcons are lucky they are in the NFC South. They have looked very vulnerable after an impressive 5-0 start.

There isn't much you can say about the Chargers except that they are really, really bad.

I'll start over this week to get back on track.

Buffalo @ NY Jets   (L)Jets 23-20   Ryan v Ryan and the Jets win
Detroit @ Green Bay   (L)Packers 33-17   The Pack is back even if it is against the Lions
Carolina @ Tennessee   (W)Panthers 27-13   Carolina will have to prove me wrong
Chicago @ St Louis   (L)Rams 26-24   Up and down Rams up again this week
Miami @ Philadelphia   (L)Eagles 24-23   Maybe Suh should apologize to the Dolphin fans
Cleveland @ Pittsburgh   (W)Steelers 24-21   Luckily it's Cleveland this week Ben
Dallas @ Tampa Bay   (L)Cowboys 26-22   The 'Boys have to win this week...right?
New Orleans @ Washington  (W)Redskins 27-23   I know but the Saints can't close
Jacksonville @ Baltimore   (L)Ravens 27-24   Okay Ravens, ONE MORE chance!
Minnesota @ Oakland   (L)Raiders 24-21   Same goes for you Raiders!
Kansas City @ Denver   (L)Broncos 24-20   World Series hangover still?
New England @ NY Giants   (W)Patriots 31-17   Giants tough at home...nah
Arizona @ Seattle   (L)Seahawks 27-23   'Hawks begin their march to the Super Bowl
Houston @ Cincinnati   (L)Bengals 26-17  Another MNF fantastic matchup

So, the Bengals, Patriots and Panthers march on while everyone else cries "look at me" in hopes of attracting attention.

The Chargers, Colts, 49ers and Falcons have the week off...thank goodness.

Check back all day Sunday and late Friday night to see how I stack up against your horrible picks!

NFL Picks Week 5

This week is a difficult week to pick.

There are 5 undefeated teams each playing teams with 2-2 records. The Bengals, Packers and the Falcons are all playing at home while the Patriots and the Broncos are on the road. The Bengals will face the toughest competition in the Seahawks but the Rams could present trouble for the Packers. The Patriots face a "Romoless" Cowboys team that searches for a QB solution. If the Raiders can harass Manning that game could be very interesting.

On the opposite end of the spectrum, there are 3 contests showcasing teams with 1-3 records. The Bears face the Chiefs in Arrowhead Stadium in a game the Chiefs should dominate. The Saints take on the Eagles with the loser all but out of playoff contention, and possibly Chip Kelly facing an early exit from Philadelphia. The Browns, with their own QB problems, cruise into Baltimore to face a Ravens team that knows with a win they could still possibly challenge the Bengals for a Division Championship.

Here are my predictions. I was 9-6 last week and I am now 36-27 overall. A perfect week would be nice.

Indianapolis @ Houston   (W)Colts 21-17   Hasselback leads the Colts over the hapless Texans
Washington @ Atlanta   (W)Falcons 33-14   The Falcons should have an easy time of this one
Seattle @ Cincinnati   (W)Bengals 17-13   I like the Bengal's "D" and the 'Hawks "O" is struggling
St. Louis @ Green Bay   (W)Packers 21-19   Maybe different if played in STL
Buffalo @ Tennessee   (W)Bills 21-16   Tossup but Rex Ryan's QB is getting better every week
Chicago @ Kansas City   (L)Chiefs 28-12   Cutler picked off 3 times with 2 "Pick 6's"
New Orleans @ Philadelphia   (L)Saints 28-24   Eagles can't seem to get it together
Jacksonville @ Tampa Bay   (L)Jaguars 21-20    Bortles v Winston what a matchup!
Cleveland @ Baltimore   (L)Ravens 27-21   Flacco finally realizes preseason is over
Arizona @ Detroit   (W)Cardinals 41-14   Batted balls, stolen playbook, Lions lose
New England @ Dallas   (W)Patriots 28-17   NE comes out with "guns blazin"
Denver @ Oakland   (W)Broncos 21-13   Could easily be the biggest upset of the weekend
San Francisco @ NY Giants   (W)Giants 31-27   No way the Giants lose, right?
Pittsburgh @ San Diego   (L)Chargers 24-20   Vick is not the answer for the Steelers

Carolina, Minnesota, Miami and the NY Jets have the weekend off.

Finished 9-5 thanks to the Chiefs, Jaguars, Ravens and the Chargers really terrible defense.

Oh well...45-32 overall...I promise I'll do better this week.